sábado, 29 de dezembro de 2007

Apostas para esta noite:

NHL:

Em carteira:

Dallas Stars (ML)

Quota (Odds): 1.80

Chances to win: 64% - 88%

Sistema: Mandrake

UFC 79: NEMESIS


Roan Carneiro 1.71

George St. Pierre 1.42

Rameau Sokoudjou 1.87


Sistema: LOTHAR

sexta-feira, 28 de dezembro de 2007

Apostas para esta noite:

NHL:

San Jose Sharks @ St. Louis Blues / OVER 5 >> Chances to win: 85%

Florida Panthers /ML)>> Chances to win: 54%
Sistema: Mandrake

quinta-feira, 27 de dezembro de 2007

Apostas para esta noite:


Festival do mandrake!
Dos treze prognósticos gerados pelo sistema Mandrake, onze deles estão correctos!

Inacreditável!!!


NHL:

FLORIDA (ML)
PHILADELPHIA (ML)
OTTAWA (ML)
MONTREAL (ML)
PITTSBURGH
(ML)
NASHVILLE (ML)
DETROIT (ML)
ANAHEIM
PHOENIX
(ML)
VANCOUVER ML


NBA:
DALLAS (ML)
PHOENIX (ML)
BOSTON (ML)












A selecção diária de picks do mandrake é vendida ao preço de € 50.00 através de payPal e/ou Moneybookers.

quarta-feira, 26 de dezembro de 2007

Apostas para esta noite:

MANDRAKE: Dinheiro na cartola!

NHL:

Ottawa Senators (ML)
Sistema: MANDRAKE; Chances to win: 67% - 87%

Dallas Stars (ML)
Sistema: MANDRAKE; Chances to win: 62% -82%

N Y Islanders (ML)
Sistema: MANDRAKE; Chances to win: 40% to 56%

NBA:

New Jersey Nets +5.5
Sistema: Y4n; Chances to win: 58%

Sacramento Kings +7.5
Sistema: Y4n; Chances to win: 65%

Chicago Bulls +11.5 (Global)
Sistema: Y4n; Chances to win: 55%

Boxe: 29 de Dezembro de 2007

29 de Dezembro de 2007:

Marco Huck (Ger) 1.25 (BWIN) vs. Steve Cunningham (USA) 3.80 (BWIN)

>> Huck by unanimous decision (Chance to win: 65%).

Sistema: LOTHAR

segunda-feira, 24 de dezembro de 2007

Feliz Natal

Feliz Natal para todos!!!

>> Somente volto a publicar Picks no próximo dia 26 de Dezembro!







LOTHAR


Dia 29 Dezembro é o dia previsto para o UFC 79: NEMESIS!!!

Justamente para esse evento (e também para os próximos combates de boxe), criei um programinha de análise dos lutadores envolvidos nas fight cards.

Através do LOTHAR, vou criar os prognósticos para o UFC e para os próximos combates de boxe!


Acredito que este programa vai ser muito proveitoso!

Uma prenda vinda da BWIN!

Esta aposta foi uma autêntica prenda de Natal oferecida pela BWIN!!!

Eu não queria acreditar quando reparei que o Bookmaker oferecia 2.40 pela vitória dos Sens frente aos NYR!

domingo, 23 de dezembro de 2007

Aposta para esta noite (NHL):

Pick vindo do MANDRAKE:

Ottawa Senators (ML) 2.40 (BWIN)


TRENDS:

Ottawa: 22-8 SU as a road favorite of -150 or less

NY Rangers: 1-7 SU off a combined score of 7+ goals


Ottawa is 11-3-2 on the road this season

Ottawa Sens 78% para 90% chances to win or 0.73 pts.

sábado, 22 de dezembro de 2007

Apostas para esta noite:


Até ao próximo dia 31 de Dezembro, vou jogar com selecções vindas do sistema MANDRAKE!


NHL:

Nashville Preadators (ML)

San Jose Sharks (ML)

quinta-feira, 20 de dezembro de 2007

Apostas para esta noite:

Esta noite vou a jogo com picks vindos do Y4n e do Hound:

NFL:
St. Louis Rams +7.5

CBB:

Pittsburgh +7.5

NHL:

Tampa Bay Lightning (ML) >> Percentagem de sucesso: 67% a 84%

>>Consenso do Y4n e do Hound na vitória do Lightning!

quarta-feira, 19 de dezembro de 2007

Apostas para esta noite (NBA + NHL):

Apostas para esta noite através de picks gerados pelo HOUND:

NBA:


New Orleans Hornets @ Seatle Supersonics / UNDER 191.5 (202)
Sacramento Kings @ Milwaukee Bucks / UNDER 194.5
Was. Wizards - 3 (Global)


NHL:

Chicago Blackhawks (ML) >> Chances to win: 75%
Buffalo Sabres (ML) >> Chances to win: 71%


terça-feira, 18 de dezembro de 2007

Apostas para esta noite (NHL):

Esta noite vou utilizar picks vindos do Y4n e do HOUND:

HOUND:

N Y RANGERS (ML) >> Percentagem de sucesso: 72%

Y4n:

CALGARY FLAMES (ML) >> Percentagem de sucesso: 100%


segunda-feira, 17 de dezembro de 2007

Prognósticos para esta noite:

Esta noite vou jogar com selecções extraídas dos sistemas MANDRAKE e Y4n (um novo sistema):

Y4n:

Chicago Bears +10.5
Colorado Avalanche ML

Mandrake:

Utha Jazz -2 (GLOBAL)

sábado, 15 de dezembro de 2007

Prognósticos Hound + Mandrake:

HOUND:

NHL- ML:

Phoenix
Dallas
Boston
Toronto
Pittsburgh
Ottawa
Philadelphia (SO)
Chicago
Colorado
Vancouver (SO)

VANCOUVER vs. EDMONTON / Under (51% to 60%)




MANDRAKE - ML:


Senattors 1.55
Flyers 1.92
Phonix
Oilers 2.25

Vancouver @ Edmonton Over 5.5
Florida @ Detroit Under 5.5

sexta-feira, 14 de dezembro de 2007

Prognósticos do Hound + Mandrake

HOUND:

NHL:

Calgary Flames (ML)

Buffalo Sabres (ML)

Toronto Maple Leafs (ML)

Minnesota Wild (ML)

NBA:

Indiana Pacers

Orlando Magic

Boston Celtics

Atlanta Hanks

Cleveland Cavaliers

Minnesota Timberwolves

Chicago Bulls

Utah Jazz



MANDRAKE:

NHL:

Buffalo Sabres by 0.39 (ML)

Atlanta Thrashers by 0.15 (ML)



NBA:

Indiana Pacers / UNDER 203.5

Atlanta Hawks x Detroit Pistons / OVER 183.5

Milwaukee Bucks @ Boston Celtics / OVER 189

Esta noite!


Grande noite!!!
Esta noite, ganhei duas importantes apostas tomadas na BWIN e na UNIBET!


Recorrendo aos picks do MANDRAKE system, consegui vencer as apostas através dos Houston Texans +2 (Power game: 2.86) e Los Angeles Kings vs. Dallas Stars UNDER 5.5!


quinta-feira, 13 de dezembro de 2007

Prognósticos dos sistemas HOUND & MANDRAKE:

HOUND:

NHL:



PITTSBURGH PENGUINS (ML)
CALGARY FLAMES (ML)
ST. LOUIS BLUES (ML)
PHOENIX COYOTES (ML)
BOSTON BRUINS (ML)


MANDRAKE:

NHL:


DALLAS STARS [Power game: 0.83] (ML)
PHILADELPHIA FLYERS [Power game: 0.77] (ML)
DETROIT RED WING [Power game: 1.53] (ML)
OTTAWA SENATORS
[Powwer game: 0.54] (ML)

quarta-feira, 12 de dezembro de 2007

Prognósticos Hound & Mandrake:

Prognóstico do Hound:

NHL:

Colorado Avalanche (ML)


Atlanta Thrashers (ML)

Vancouver Canucks (ML)

NBA (ML):

Philadelphia 1.22


Dallas 1.40

Orlando 1.44

Golden St. 1.41

Phoenix

Boston 1.07

NBA (PS):

Philadelphia -6.5 1.91 (Global)


Orlando -5 1.91 (Global)

Phoenix -7.5 1.91 (Global)

Golden St. -3 1.91 (Global)



Prognósticos do mandrake:

NHL:

Boston 0.75


Buffalo 0.58

Colorado 0.52

Ottawa 0.19

NBA:

Boston 17.84


Philadelphia 9.71

Orlando 9.14

Detroit 8.46

Golden St. 7.15

Clippers 3.18

Escrevi mais um programa capaz de vencer os Bookmakers: MANDRAKE!









MANDRAKE version 1.0















terça-feira, 11 de dezembro de 2007

Prognósticos do Hound:

NBA (ML):

Detroit

Utah

Was.

segunda-feira, 10 de dezembro de 2007

Prognósticos do Hound:

NHL:

Vancouver Canucks (ML)

NBA (PS):

Dallas Mavericks -6.5 (Global)

Phoenix Suns -10 (Global)

Sacramento Kings -3 (Global) PUSHED: Milwaukee 93, Sacramento 96 - 3: 93-93

HOUND: Sucesso absoluto!














O programa esta pronto para ser comercializado!
















domingo, 9 de dezembro de 2007

Prognósticos do Hound:


NHL:

Colarado Avalanche (ML)


NY Rangers (ML)


Detroit Red Wings (ML)



NBA:

Detroit Pistons -10 [Global] (PS)


Los Angeles Lackers -1.5 [Global] (PS)

Was. Wizards [BWIN] (ML)



sábado, 8 de dezembro de 2007

Boxing - Welterweight


Floyd Mayweather v Ricky Hatton
>> Mayweather to Win



Prognósticos do Hound:


HOUND a scanear a rede.


NHL:

Was Capitals (ML)

Tampa Bay Lightning (OT) (ML)

Nashville Predators (ML)

Buffalo Sabres (ML)

L. A. Kings (ML)




CBB:
Wake Forest +4

Notre Dame-24

Penn St. -1 (Global)
New Mexico -9 (Global)
Wisconsin-1.5 (Global)




NBA:

Atlanta Hawks -4.5 (Global)

Dallas Mavericks-6 (Global)

Boston Celtics -5.5 (Global)

Charlotte Bobcats -6 (Global)

sexta-feira, 7 de dezembro de 2007

Prognósticos do Hound



NHL:





Was. Capitals (ML)


NY Rangers (ML)


Detroit Red Wings (ML)


Ana Mighty Ducks (ML)


St. Louis Blues (ML)


San Jose Sharks (ML)




NBA:

Boston Celtics -12 (PS)

Houston Rockets -4.5 (PS)

Golden St. Warriors -8

CBB:

Siena -2 ... OVER

Sobre o Hound:



HOUND: Ganhar nas Sports Betting da forma mais relaxada possível!!!




quinta-feira, 6 de dezembro de 2007

Apostas para esta noite (NHL):

Buffalo Sabres (ML)
Montreal Canadiens (ML)
Pittsburgh Penguins (SO) (ML)
Nashville Predators (ML)

Prognósticos do Hound


Montreal Canadiens (ML)

Toronto Maple Leafs (ML)

Carolina Hurricanes (ML)

Vancouver Canucks (ML)

Calgary Flames [SO] (ML)

Los Angeles Kings (ML)


quarta-feira, 5 de dezembro de 2007

Aposta para esta noite (NHL):

Ottawa Senators @Florida Panthers

Sens (ML: OT Included)

Bookmaker: Pinnacle

Stake: 1 Unit
---------------

Sens 5, Phanters 4

---------------

Prognósticos do Hound


Columbus (ML)
NYI (ML)
Ottawa (ML)
Vancouver (ML)
San Jose (ML)
Edmonton (ML)
Buffalo (ML)

***

Bruins
+1.5 (PS)
Flyers +1.5 (PS)
Kings +1.5 (PS)

terça-feira, 4 de dezembro de 2007

Prognósticos do HOUND:


NHL:



EDGES: MONEYLINE:



Predators 2.70 na BWIN


Flames 2.10 na BWIN


EDGES: POINT SPREAD:


Predators +1.5 / 1.40 (BWIN)

Lightning +1.5 / 1.35 (Unibet)

Canadiens +1.5 / 1.35 (Unibet)

Blues +1.5 / 1.40 (BWIN)





Hound!

Criei uma programinha que procura pelos movimento das linhas na Internet (Sportsbooks + Bookmakers) e que gera, a partir desses elementos, prognósticos para Point Spread e MoneyLine.





O programa está vocacionado para NHL e MLB.
















segunda-feira, 3 de dezembro de 2007

Ontem:

Voltei a ganhar com uma aposta efectuada no jogo Vancouver Canucks vs. Minnesota Wild!!!

Resultado:

Canucks, 1, Wild 2

domingo, 2 de dezembro de 2007

Apostas desta noite:

Entrei o mês de Dezembro com o pé direito: ganhei as três apostas realizadas esta noite!


NBA:

Charlotte Bobcats @ Chicago Bulls

Bulls -6.5 (Point Spread)

Stake: 2 Units

Sportsbook: BWIN

Bobcats 95, Bulls 111

NHL:

Carolina Hurricanes @ Buffalo Sabres

Sabres

Stake: 1 Unit

Sportsbook: Pinnacle

Canes 1, Sabres 8

sábado, 1 de dezembro de 2007

Novembro 2007:


Mais um mês de resultados positivos nas Sports Betting!








Apostas de ontem (NHL, NBA + CBB):

NHL:

St. Louis Blues @ Minnesota Wild

Wild

Stake: 1 Unit

Sportsbook: PINNACLE (OT + Penalty Shots)



Blues 2, Wild 3 (OT)



NBA:

Orlando Magic @ Phonix Suns

Suns - 5.5 (Point Spread)

Stake: 1 Unit

Sportsbook: Ladbrokes


Magic 106, Suns 110 (-5)



CBB:


Washington St. @ Baylor

Was. St. - 3 (Point Spread)


Stake: 1 Unit

Sportsbook: Betmaker



Was. St. 67, Baylor 64

quinta-feira, 29 de novembro de 2007

Aposta para esta noite:

Anaheim Ducks (11-10-4) @ Calgary Flames (10-12-3)


Flames


TRENDS:

Calgary has lost 2 straight games.
Anaheim is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Calgary.

Anaheim is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Calgary.


Anaheim has not won in Calgary since February 4, 2003, having lost its last six trips since. The Ducks have won five of the last nine meetings overall.



MATHEMATICAL EXPECTATION:



Win %: 56.52%


True probability of success is between 42.68% and 68.73%.

Based on 56.52 successes and 43.48 failures, there is a 1.00% chance the true probability for the event lies outside of this interval.




Ducks 4, Flames 1

quarta-feira, 28 de novembro de 2007

Apostas para esta noite (College Basketball, NBA e NHL):

College Basketball:

Pepperdine Waves vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Lumberjacks - 7.5 (Point Spread)

Stake: 2 Units

Sportsbook: BetED






Waves 93, Lumberjacks 87 (OT)







NBA:


Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Detroit Pistons


Pistons -8.5 (Point Spread)


Stake: 2 Units





Cavaliers 74, Pistons 109






NHL:

Phonix Coyotes vs. Minnesota Wild

Wild (Money Line)

Stake: 3 Units

Sportsbook: BWIN



Coyotes 1, Wild 3



Ottawa Senators vs. New York Islanders


Senators (Money Line)


Stake: 3 Units



Senators 2, Islanders 3 (OT)



Edmonton Oilers vs. Colorado Avalanche


Avalanche (Money Order)


Stake: 3 Units


Sportsbook: Pinnacle (ML: OT and Penalty Shots Included)



Oilers 2, Avalanche 4


Jogo impressionante!

Canadiens 4, Toronto 3 (SO)
Considerado como aposta vencedora na Pinnacle (no formato OT Included)

terça-feira, 27 de novembro de 2007

Apostas para esta noite (NHL + NCAA):

NHL:

Montreal Canadiens (12-8-3) @ Toronto Maple Leafs (8-11-5)

Canadiens

TRENDS:

The Habs are 7-4-1 as the visiting team this season, while the Maple Leafs are just 4-5-4 on home ice.

Oddsmakers currently have the Maple Leafs listed as 120-moneyline favorites versus the Canadiens, while the game's total is sitting at 6.

Montreal has lost 2 straight games.
Toronto has lost 3 straight games.

MATHEMATICAL EXPECTATION:

Win %: 45.45%

True probability of success is between 35.03% and 55.27%.

Based on 45.45 successes and 54.55 failures, there is a 5.00% chance the true probability for the event lies outside of this interval.


Stake: 2 Units

Sportsbook: Pinnacle


NCAA MEN:



UNLV Rebels @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Gauchos - 2 (Global)

Stake: 3 Units




Bebels 60, Gauchos 63 (* -2 na Global)

Rio Heroes 12: Hoje!



Hoje: RH 12

segunda-feira, 26 de novembro de 2007

Apostas para esta noite (NHL):

Dallas Stars (12-7-4) @ New York Islanders (12-8-0)


Ialanders

TRENDS:

The Dallas Stars will aim to extend their five-game winning streak tonight when they visit New York's Nassau Coliseum to battle the Islanders.


The Islanders are 8-3-0 as the host this season and welcome Ottawa to New York on Wednesday.

New York is unbeaten over its last six meetings with Dallas, going 5-0 with a tie. The Stars have also lost three in a row as the visitor in the series.

Oddsmakers currently have the Islanders listed as 140-moneyline favorites versus the Stars, while the game's total is sitting at 5.

Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NY Islanders are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home

NY Islanders are 5-0-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Dallas



MATHEMATICAL EXPECTATION:

Win %: 58.33%

True probability of success is between 47.71% and 67.80%.

Based on 58.33% successes and 41.67% failures, there is a 5.00% chance the true probability for the event lies outside of this interval.


Stake: 2 Units
Sportsbook: BWIN




Stars 3, Islanders 2 (OT)





Buffalo Sabres (10-10-1) @ Washington Capitals (8-14-1)

Sabres


TRENDS:

Angle: The Capitals are clicking under their new head coach.

The Capitals are 3-7-0 as the host and wrap a three-game homestand on Wednesday versus the Florida Panthers.

The Sabres have won four in a row over Washington, including a 7-3 home victory this season with Spacek and Roy scoring twice. Buffalo has also won five of its last six trips to Washington.

Oddsmakers currently have the Sabres listed as 105-moneyline favorites versus the Capitals, while the game's total is sitting at 5½.


Current streak:Buffalo has won 4 straight games.Washington has won 2 straight games.


MATHEMATICAL EXPECTION:

Win %: 51.22%


True probability of success is between 40.80% and 61.14%.

Based on 51.22% successes and 48.78% failures, there is a 5.00% chance the true probability for the event lies outside of this interval.




Stake: 2 Units (Including OT and Penalty Shots)

Sportsbook: Unibet



Sabres 3, Capitals 1

sábado, 24 de novembro de 2007

Apostas para hoje (NHL + CFB):

NHL:

Chicago Blackhawks (12-8-1) @ Edmonton Oilers (8-13-1)

Oilers (ML)


TRENDS:

The Chicago Blackhawks can match their longest winning streak of the season when they visit the Edmonton Oilers tonight at Rexall Place.
>> Angle: the Hawks haven't won three straight road games for more than two years.

The Blackhawks are 6-3-1 as the visiting team this year.

The Oilers have dropped three of their last four contests.

Edmonton is just 4-7-0 on its home ice this season.

The Blackhawks and Oilers have split their last eight meetings, with Chicago losing three straight and five of its last six in Edmonton.


The Blackhawks are one of the most improved teams in the league, but don't bet on them when they invade 'Oil Country'. Chicago has managed just two victories in its last 13 trips to Rexall Place and tonight marks the first time all year that they have been favored on the road.


Oddsmakers currently have the Blackhawks listed as 125-moneyline favorites versus the Oilers, while the game's total is sitting at 5½.


MATHEMATICAL EXPECTATION:


Win %: 55.56


True probability of success is between 44.73% and 64.97%.

Based on 55.56% successes and 44.44% failures, there is a 5.00% chance the true probability for the event lies outside of this interval.


Stake: 1 Units (Including OT and Penalty Shots)





Blackhawks 2, Oilers 3




CFB:

Tennesse Volunteers @ Kentucky Wildcats

Wildcats -2.5

Stake: 5 Units (Aggressive bet)

Sportbook: BWIN



Volunteers 52, Wildcats 50




Miami-Ohio Redhawks @ Ohio University Bobcats

Bobcats +1.5

Stake: 2 Units


TCU Horned Frogs @ San Diego St. Aztecas

Under 49

Stake: 3 Units

Sportsbook: 10Bet




78 Points



sexta-feira, 23 de novembro de 2007

Apostas para esta noite (NHL + CFB):


Montreal Canadiens (12-6-3) x Buffalo Sabres (8-10-1)


Sabres (ML)




TRENDS:

the Sabres began this stand with a 4-1 victory over the Canadiens last Friday. The club was then out of action until Wednesday when it posted a 4-2 victory over Ottawa.


The Sabres are 6-4-0 at home this season, while the Canadiens are a solid 7-3-1 as the visiting club this season.

Montreal is 2-1 against the Sabres this season and has won five of seven and six of the last nine meetings. However, the Habs have dropped two in a row and four of their last six contests in Buffalo.


Oddsmakers currently have the Canadiens listed as 110-moneyline favorites versus the Sabres, while the game's total is sitting at 5½.


Current streak:Buffalo has won 2 straight games.



MATHEMATICAL EXPECTATION:

Win % 56.52


True probability of success is between 45.72% and 65.92%.

Based on 56.52 successes and 43.48 failures, there is a 5.00% chance the true probability for the event lies outside of this interval.


Stake: 3 Units

Sportsbook: Pinnacle (OT INCLUDED)





Canadiens 2, Sabres 4




Texas Longhorns (9-2) x Texas A&M (6-5)



Longhorns – 7


Stake: 2 Units

Sportsbook: BWIN



Longhorns 30, A&M 38




quinta-feira, 22 de novembro de 2007

Aposta para esta noite (NHL):


Colorado Avalanche (11-8-1) x Edmonton Oilers (8-12-1)

Avalanche


TRENDS:

Current streak:
Colorado has lost 3 straight games.

The Avs have won both of their matchups with the Oilers this season, one at home and one on the road. Colorado has also won six of its last eight meetings with Edmonton and four of five as the visiting club.


The Avs have won both of their matchups with the Oilers this season, one at home and one on the road. Colorado has also won six of its last eight meetings with Edmonton and four of five as the visiting club.



MATHEMATICAL EXPECTATION:

Winning percentage:59.18% (-145)

True probability of success is between 48.71% and 68.74%.

Based on 59.18% successes and 40.82% failures, there is a 5.00% chance the true probability for the event lies outside of this interval.


Stake: 3 Units (Jopata's Top Plays)

Sportsbook: Unibet (ML, Included OT & Penalty Shots)





Avalanche 3, Oilers 2








quarta-feira, 21 de novembro de 2007

Apostas para esta noite (NHL):

Philadelphia Flyers (11-7-1) x Carolina Hurricanes (12-6-3),

Canes


TRENDS:

The Flyers are just 5-6-0 as the visiting team this season and are just 2-3-0 in their last five road tests.

Tonight marks the third portion of a four-game homestand for the Hurricanes, who are 6-3-1 as the host club this year.

Tonight marks the third portion of a four-game homestand for the Hurricanes, who are 6-3-1 as the host club this year.


Oddsmakers currently have the Hurricanes listed as 145-moneyline favorites versus the Flyers.



Current streak:Philadelphia has lost 2 straight games. Team records:Philadelphia: 11-7-1Carolina: 12-6-3 Carolina is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home




(Winning percentage: 59.18%.
True probability of success is between 48.71% and 68.74%.

Based on
59.18% successes and 40.82% failures, there is a 5.00% chance the true probability for the event lies outside of this interval. - Jopata)






Stake: 3 Units (Jopata' s Top Plays)

Sportsbook: Unibet (2.10)






Flyers 6, Hurricanes 3














Montreal Canadiens (11-6-3) x New York Islanders (11-6-0)

Islanders



TRENDS:

The Islanders are 6-2-0 this month and are coming off back-to-back wins.

The Islanders have played seven straight games decided by one goal in regulation time, becoming the first team in NHL history to do so. They have gone 5-2-0 in those contests.


New York will play four of its next five games on home ice, beginning with tonight's test. They are an impressive 7-2-0 at Nassau Coliseum this season.


The Canadiens have been up and down in recent weeks, going 2-3-0 in their last five games.

Montreal is 6-3-1 as the visiting team this season and begin a stretch of four road tests in five games tonight.

The Canadiens have won three of five and five of the last eight meetings with the Islanders. Montreal has been defeated in two of its previous three stops on Long Island.


Oddsmakers currently have the Islanders listed as 125-moneyline favorites versus the Canadiens, while the game's total is sitting at 5½..


( NY is expected to win at a 55.56% rate.

True probability of success is between 44.73% and 64.97%.

Based on 55.56% successes and 44.44% failures, there is a 5.00% chance the true probability for the event lies outside of this interval. - Jopata)



Stake: 1 Unit

Sportsbook: Pinnacle



Canadiens 4, Islanders 1




Ottawa Senators (16-3-0) x Buffalo Sabres (7-10-1)

Senators



TRENDS:

Ottawa posted a home win over the Sabres in the opener of the season series last Thursday. The Sens have taken two straight and six of the last eight meetings with Buffalo.


Ottawa, which is 6-1-0 as the visiting team this season, wraps up a three-game road trip tonight.



Ottawa is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing BuffaloOttawa is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games



Oddsmakers currently have the Senators listed as 155-moneyline favorites versus the Sabres,
while the game's total is sitting at 5½..

(Winning percentage: 60.78%.

True probability of success is between 46.65% and 72.37%.

Based on 60.78% successes and 39.22% failures, there is a 1.00% chance the true probability for the event lies outside of this interval. - Jopata)




Senators 2, Sabres 4


terça-feira, 20 de novembro de 2007

Apostas para esta noite (NHL + NBA):

Vancouver Canucks (10-8-1) x Edmonton Oilers (7-12-1)

Canucks (MoneyLine)


TRENDS:

The Canucks will aim for their third straight win and fifth victory in their last six games tonight.

The Canucks moved to 8-0-1 against Northwest Division opponents. That includes a 3-0 record against Calgary this year. Vancouver also ended a four-game homestand with a 3-0-1 mark.

the Canucks, who are a solid 6-2-0 as the away team this year.

The Oilers have struggled recently, dropping two straight and six of their last eight contests (2-5-1).

The Oilers, who are 3-6-0 as the host this year,

Vancouver is 2-1 against the Oilers this season and has taken eight of the last 11 meetings between the clubs. The Canucks have also posted wins in four straight and five of their previous six stops in Edmonton.

VAN are 6-2 in their last 8 road games.

VAN are 20-7 in their last 27 vs. Northwest.

VAN are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.

VAN at home: 5-6EDM at home: 4-5VAN away: 6-2EDM away: 5-6

Oddsmakers currently have the Canucks listed as 125-moneyline favorites versus the Oilers ( Winning percentage:55.56% - Jopata )









Canucks 4, Oilers 5 (SO)








Stake: 1 Unit

Sportsbook: Partybets


- - -



Milwaukee Bucks (4-4) x Cleveland Cavaliers (5-5)

Cavaliers (to cover -6.5)

TRENDS:

Milwaukee is still searching for its first road win of the season (0-4)

Cleveland took all four games from Milwaukee last season and has won seven in a row and eight of the last nine matchups.

The Bucks have dropped eight consecutive games at Quicken Loans Arena.

Oddsmakers currently have the Cavaliers listed as 6½-point favorites versus the Bucks, while the game's total is sitting at 194½.

The Bucks covered as 8.5-point favorites as the game played over the 197-point total set by oddsmakers.

Team records:Milwaukee: 4-4 SU, 3-4-1 ATS Cleveland: 5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS



Cleveland Winning Percentage: 66.85% (Cavaliers should expect to win at a 49.92% rate, which ia a negative-EV bet against a line with -110 juice - Jopata)


Stake: 1 Unit

Sportsbook: BetED






Bucks 111, Cavaliers 107





Toronto Raptors (5-5) x Dallas Mavericks (7-2)

Mavericks (to cover -8.5)

TRENDS:

The Raptors are 3-1 on the road this season.

Dallas has won three in a row and plays the finale of a four-game homestand.

Last season, the Mavericks were 2-0 against Toronto and have won seven in a row in the series overall. The Raptors have lost seven straight and eight of their last nine on the road against the Mavericks.

Toronto is 2-9 at Dallas



Current streak:Dallas has won 3 straight games.

Toronto is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 games Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at homeDallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto

Mavericks Winning Percentage: 59.71% = should expect to win at a 51.23% rate, which is a positive-EV bet against a line with -110 juice - Jopata.

Stake: 1 Unit

Sportsbook: Betmaker




Raptors 99, Mavericks 105






San Antonio Spurs (8-2) x Atlanta Hawks (3-6)

Spurs (to cover -6.5)

TRENDS:

San Antonio has won five of its last six games.

Meanwhile, the Hawks have lost two straight and four of their last five games.

San Antonio took both meetings with Atlanta last season and has won five of six and 14 of the last 17 matchups in the series.

The Spurs have won two of their last three games at Philips Arena.

Team records:San Antonio: 8-2 SU, 4-6 ATS Atlanta: 3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS

Spurs winning percentage: 68.71% = should expect to win at a 49.13% rate, which ia a negative-EV bet against a line with -110 juice - Jopata.



Stake: 1 Units

Sporstbook: ladbrokes



Spurs 95, Hawks 83




segunda-feira, 19 de novembro de 2007

Apostas para esta noite (NBA + NHL):

New Jersey Nets (4-6) x Utah Jazz (7-4)

Jazz ( to cover -10)

TRENDS:

The Nets have failed to cover 9 of their L/10 games , after scoring 90 or less points in two straight games.


The Nets are 1-1 on the road this season.

The Jazz are 4-1 at home this season.

Current streak:
New Jersey has lost 5 straight games.
Utah has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
New Jersey: 4-6 SU, 3-6-1 ATS
Utah: 7-4 SU, 5-6 ATS

Utah is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against New Jersey.







Nets, 75, Utah 102







Sportsbook: BetCRIS

Stake: 2 Units



Tampa Bay Lightning (10-8-1) x Atlanta Thrashers (9-10-0)

Thrashers (Moneyline)

TRENDS:


Tampa Bay is 2-1 against the Thrashers this season, but tonight's test is the first meeting in Atlanta. The Lightning have taken three of the last five tilts in this series, but have been defeated in two of their previous three trips to Philips Arena.


The Thrashers are 3-4-0 as the host team this season, while Tampa Bay is just 2-7-0 on the road.

Current streak:
Tampa Bay has won 5 straight games.
Atlanta has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Tampa Bay: 10-8-1
Atlanta: 9-10-0

Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games







Lightning 3, Thrashers 4





Sportsbook: Partybets

Stake: 1 Unit


Tampa Bay Lightning (10-8-1) x Atlanta Thrashers (9-10-0)

OVER 6

Stake: 1 Unit

Sportsbook: 10 Bet





7 Goals





Los Angeles Kings (8-10-1) x Dallas Stars (8-7-4)

Stars
(MoneyLine)


TRENDS:

Jussi Jokinen scored four times on Friday as the Stars rolled to a 6-1 home win over the Colorado Avalanche.
The Kings have dropped four of five and five of their last seven games.

Los Angeles is just 2-3-1 as the visiting team this year and is beginning a five-game road trip tonight.

The Stars are 4-3-2 as the host this season and 1-0-1 so far during the residency.

Los Angeles is 2-1 against the Stars this year, winning both tests in the City of Angels. However, Dallas has taken 10 of the last 13 encounters overall and LA has been defeated in five straight trips to Texas.

Current streak:
Los Angeles has lost 3 straight games.
Team records:
Los Angeles: 8-10-1
Dallas: 8-7-4



Kings 0, Stars 3






Sportsbook: Pinnacle

Stake:
1 Unit



Nashville Predators (10-7-2) x St. Louis Blues (10-7-0)

Blues (MoneyLine)



TRENDS;

The St. Louis Blues will try to match their longest winning streak of the season tonight, when they host the Nashville Predators at Scottrade Center in the finale of a home-and-home series.


The Blues have won three in a row and can tie their four-game streak from October 6-17 with another victory this evening.

The Blues are 6-3-0 as the home team this season, while Nashville is just 4-5-1 away from the Music City.

St. Louis has won both meetings with the Preds this season and three of the last four encounters dating back to last year. However, Nashville has taken 15 of the last 18 matchups overall and 10 of the previous 12 battles on its home ice.





Predators 1, Blues 2



Sportsbook: Gamebookers

Stake: 1 Unit




sábado, 17 de novembro de 2007

Apostas para hoje (CFB + NHL):

CFB:

Louisville Cardinals vs. South Florida Bulls

Apostei nos Bulls (to cover -8.5)

Stake: 1 Unit

Sportsbook: BetED



Bulls 55, Cardinals 17





NHL:

Ottawa Senators (15-2-0) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (7-8-5)

Apostei nos Senators (ML: Aposta Linear 1.62)


Stake: 1 Unit

Sportsbook: Pinnacle



Senators 0, Maple Leafs 3


Informações úteis:

The Senators are off to an amazing 15-2-0 start to the season and have won 10 of their last 11 contests.

The Sens are playing the first test of a three-game road trip tonight. Ottawa is a perfect 5-0-0 as the visiting team this season.

The Senators are 3-0 against Toronto this season and have taken four five and
Seven of the last nine encounters with the Leafs. Ottawa has also been
Victorious in four of its last five trips to Air Canada Centre.

The most recent meeting was a 5-1 Ottawa home win Nov. 6

Current streak:Ottawa has won 2 straight games.Toronto has lost 3 straight games.

Team records:Ottawa: 15-2-0Toronto: 7-8-5

Ottawa most recently:When playing on Saturday are 7-2-1Before playing Boston are 8-2After playing Buffalo are 6-4After a win are 8-2Toronto most recently:When playing on Saturday are 4-6Before playing San Jose are 3-3-2After playing Boston are 3-7After a loss are 5-5


A few trends to consider:Ottawa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the roadOttawa is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing TorontoThe total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 12 games at homeToronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against OttawaToronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa



Senators LAST 5 GAMES:

W – 2 – BUF
W – 1 – MON
L – 4 – WAS
W – 1 – TOR
W – 1 – BOS

Maple Leafs Last 5 Games:

L – 5 – BOS
L – 4 – MON
L – 0 – BUF
L – 5 – OTT

sexta-feira, 16 de novembro de 2007

Boxing: IBF Minimumweight title




Florante Condes [won 22 (KO 20) + lost 3 (KO 0) ] vs. Muhammad Rachman [won 61 (KO 31) + lost 6 (KO 0) + drawn 5 = 72]

Apostei em Condes 1.57 (na BWIN), frente a 1.45 na Bodog.

Stake: 2 Units






UFC 78: Validation



Prudential Center in Newark, N.J. on Saturday, Nov. 17.

Michael "The Count" Bisping vs. "Sugar" Rashad Evans


Apostei em Evans 1.31 (Bodog)


Stake: 3 Units



>> Relacionado com este evento, os combates mais interessantes para apostar, são aqueles que vão colocar frente a frente Joe Doerksen 2.10 vs Ed Herman 1.71 e Frank Edgar 1.74 vs. Spencer Fisher 2.05.

Para essas lutas é muito mais difícil elaborar prognósticos sólidos.
No entanto, creio que Herman e Edgar vão sair vitoriosos desses confrontos.




Evans, Herman e Edgar venceram os seus respectivos combates na UFC:78!





 



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